Edited by David Bailey, Les Budd
"A timely and important book dealing in admirable detail and with great clarity with what must rank as the biggest single issue facing Britain today." – Anand Menon, Professor of European Politics and Foreign Affairs, King's College London, and Director of the UK in a Changing Europe initiative
"An excellent and very timely book with many profound insights. The post-Brexit challenges ahead are real, as are the potential opportunities, and this book helps us to navigate a way through these newly-emerging realities." – Philip McCann, Professor of Economic Geography, University of Groningen
"An indispensable guide to the complex issues of political economy that Brexit has thrown up. As there is still so much uncertainty about Britain's future relationship with the EU, research and clear insight into how Brexit might affect the different nations, regions and business sectors of the UK is vital. This volume provides just such material." – Nick Pearce, Professor of Public Policy, University of Bath
"I have no doubt future generations of researchers will acknowledge
The UK’s vote to leave the European Union is a pivotal moment in British history. Over the past forty years, the UK’s economy has become increasingly intertwined and dependent on its relationship with the other EU member states with both the EU and the UK’s economic landscape irrevocably fashioned by its membership. Brexit takes both parties into unchartered territory. At such a time of uncertainty, what can we say for certain about the UK’s economic relationship with the EU and what might be the likely flashpoints for negotiations and the unintended consequences of Brexit?
This collection of essays explores the ramifications of the Brexit decision for the UK and European economies. The contributors, who all draw on long experience of policy-oriented research on the British economy within the European Union, consider the impact, at least in the short term, of a weaker and less influential UK economy. Questions addressed include: What is the likely impact on our already weak manufacturing industries? How will the withdrawal of EU funding for regional development impact on growth and future economic development outside of London and the South East? What is the likely impact on wages and labour regulations? How are relations with our closest EU neighbours likely to develop, critically for Northern Ireland with the Republic of Ireland, and with the biggest economic player, Germany? What of the Scottish question? How will the City, the engine of UK growth in the past decade, maintain its position as Europe’s financial centre? And finally, whither the EU? How will it fare without its second largest economy within the Union?
With the UK’s withdrawal negotiations likely to last for at least the next two years, and the potential for other calls for referendums in other member states, the economic consequences of leaving the European Union are set to dominate politics in the UK and Europe well in to the future. These essays provide an important first step in assessing the threats and challenges that a Brexit poses for the UK and wider EU economy and will be welcome reading for anyone in search of some rigour and clarity amid the hyperbole of recent months.
1. Introduction: The Political Economy of Brexit
David Bailey and Leslie Budd
2. Examining Consequences for Trade: Integration and Disintegration Effects
Edgar Morgenroth, Economic and Social Research Institute
3. Brexit and the Discreet Charm of Haute Finance
Jan Toporowski, SOAS, University of London
4. What Does Brexit Mean for UK Automotive and Industrial Policy?
David Bailey and Lisa De Propris, University of Birmingham
5. Future Regulation of the UK Workforce
Sukhwinder Salh, Birmingham City University, Margarita Nyfoudi, Birmingham City University and Alex De Ruyter, Glasgow Caledonian University
6. The Exit Connection: Europe’s New Polanyian Moment
Dimitris P. Sotiropoulos, The Open University and John Milios, National Technical University of Athens
7. A Scottish Perspective: Charting a Path Through the Rubble
Jim Gallagher, University of Oxford
8. Stalling or Breaking? Northern Ireland's Economy in the Balance
9. Brexit and Regional Development in the UK: What Future for Regional Policy after Structural Funds?
John Bachtler, University of Strathclyde
10. What Brexit Means for Europe
Tim Oliver, London School of Economics
David Bailey is Professor of Industrial Strategy at Aston Business School. He has written widely on economic restructuring, industrial and regional policy. He has twice chaired the Regional Studies Association, and has acted as a Special Advisor to the House of Commons Select Committee on the West Midlands region.
Leslie Budd is Reader in Social Enterprise in the Centre for Public Leadership and Social Enterprise (PULSE) at The Open University Business School. He is also a member of the cross-faculty research centre, The Centre for Innovation Knowledge and Development (IKD). He has been Chair of the Regional Studies Association (200306) and was elected an Academician of the Academy of Social Sciences in 2004. He has authored and edited several books, including most recently, eGovernance: Managing or Governing? (co-editor) and e-Economy: Rhetoric or Business Reality? (co-editor).